Here’s my thinking (understanding that this is pure speculation based upon very little evidence, a long shot to say the least, and may be something I’ll regret writing after the cobwebs clear from hitting my head on something in the shed last night) …
At this point, assuming Palin does aspire to higher office, she is swimming up a waterfall in the Republican party (especially after her recent announcement), but still appears to have retained support in the more conservative circles of the Party. She speaks of a higher calling and uniting the country along conservative lines. This would be quite challenging with the current leadership in the Republican Party which appears more inclined to try to just be less liberal than the Democrats.
So, for her, a new Party might be the way to go… but I don’t think she has the cred to go that route on her own.
Enter Gingrich, who also appears to be looking to drive solutions to our country’s issues from a clearly more conservative perspective than the current Republican Party. Gingrich brings experience, knowledge, a slew of ideas to the table, but would have a hard time getting the Republican nomination in this environment.
So… is the incentive there, is the timing right, is there a predefined “conservative leadership” in place?
Might this be the right time for a viable third party?
Viewed another way: If it is true that the Democratic Party has moved sharply to the left, if it is true that the Republican Party is moving closer to the “center left”, then either we need to believe the political center of this country has moved to the left or we must concede that the folks towards the right of center are growing in numbers as the “center” shifts left.
If the former, no adjustment is necessary because we are, together, moving to the left.
If the latter, then this shift to the left by both major parties opens up a void where a large ready-made constituency will be available for a third party, right of center, that has the necessary leadership to convince people that they are not just throwing away votes if they turn their backs on the Dems and the Reps.
Gingrich and Palin may just be in the right place at the right time to break the stranglehold the Democrats and Republicans have on our country’’s political process and provide us with a third option that isn’t just “none of the above”.
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